Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000099 0.000117 0.000136 0.000157 0.000181 0.000206 0.000235
2024-12-22 0.000077 0.000101 0.000128 0.000160 0.000198 0.000239 0.000289
2024-12-29 0.000064 0.000090 0.000121 0.000160 0.000206 0.000258 0.000321
2025-01-05 0.000053 0.000081 0.000115 0.000160 0.000215 0.000278 0.000357
2025-01-12 0.000043 0.000071 0.000106 0.000154 0.000214 0.000286 0.000376
2025-01-19 0.000038 0.000067 0.000105 0.000158 0.000226 0.000309 0.000414
2025-01-26 0.000030 0.000058 0.000097 0.000152 0.000224 0.000313 0.000428
2025-02-02 0.000026 0.000054 0.000095 0.000153 0.000232 0.000330 0.000458
2025-02-09 0.000022 0.000050 0.000091 0.000152 0.000235 0.000341 0.000481
2025-02-16 0.000021 0.000048 0.000092 0.000157 0.000248 0.000364 0.000519
2025-02-23 0.000018 0.000046 0.000090 0.000158 0.000255 0.000379 0.000547
2025-03-02 0.000014 0.000040 0.000084 0.000153 0.000252 0.000382 0.000559
2025-03-09 0.000012 0.000036 0.000080 0.000151 0.000255 0.000394 0.000584
2025-03-16 0.000010 0.000033 0.000077 0.000150 0.000260 0.000408 0.000613
2025-03-23 0.000008 0.000031 0.000075 0.000152 0.000268 0.000426 0.000647
2025-03-30 0.000006 0.000028 0.000072 0.000151 0.000272 0.000438 0.000672
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000024 0.000067 0.000146 0.000270 0.000443 0.000688
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000023 0.000067 0.000149 0.000280 0.000463 0.000725
2025-04-20 0.000003 0.000020 0.000062 0.000144 0.000276 0.000465 0.000737
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000019 0.000061 0.000145 0.000283 0.000481 0.000768
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000017 0.000059 0.000143 0.000285 0.000491 0.000791
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000017 0.000060 0.000148 0.000298 0.000516 0.000835
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000016 0.000059 0.000150 0.000305 0.000532 0.000867